Prediction: Mastodon will outlive Bluesky

· Evan Hahn · Dec. 30, 2025, 6:01 p.m.
Summary
The author argues that Mastodon's ActivityPub protocol will outlast Bluesky's AT Protocol due to its community ownership and decentralization. Despite acknowledging Bluesky's superior user experience, the author believes a corporate-controlled protocol is at risk compared to a publicly-owned one. They suggest that both systems represent improvements over current centralized networks, while ultimately emphasizing the sustainability of ActivityPub over AT Protocol.
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