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Every year, I get asked, “How many CVEs do you think will be published this year?“ I am always willing to take a guess, but last year, I read Time Series Forecasting in Python. As I started to read more about the Kalman Filter, I figured it would work great for predicting CVE growth, so I built a simple model to test it out. 2024 Prediction My 2024 CVE model using the Kalman Filter is predicting 32,600 published CVEs. Here is the monthly breakdown: 2023 Review The model for 2023 underestimated t...